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Article by Mitch Lawson - Follow Mitch on Twitter!
This is your last chance, mediocre fantasy teams. It’s put up or shut up. If this week means something to you, then it means EVERYTHING to you. Put on your big boy pants and go and get that win.
Welcome to my full PPR Rankings. Just the thing you need to whip that lineup into shape. Don’t know whether to start Mixon or McCaffrey? Considering sitting Kareem Hunt? Scared to trust Evan Engram? Well just strap in and get an education, rookie.
As always, this is a PPR ranking. I’ll obviously be factoring in target share % in addition to opportunity, talent, matchup, etc. Believe it or not, a lot of thought goes into this. So if you want to come at me on twitter for one of my picks; then please be my guest.
Or, you can trust the process, set your lineup based on my rankings and DM me after the week is over and thank me for recommending you start Kenyan Drake.
Intrigued? You better be, dammit. This is fantasy football!!!!
Let’s jump right in with the Quarterbacks.
Sleeper QB for Week 13: Kirk Cousins (WAS) @ DAL — Kirk Cousins is finally getting some respect for his prowess as a passer, but he’s still underrated. He has a great matchup Thursday Night against a Dallas team that’s falling apart. Cousins should be busy and has a new weapon to play with in Jamison Crowder. Fire him up!
Bust QB for Week 13: Cam Newton (CAR) @ NO — Newton can’t decide whether he’s going to be a star QB or not. This week is going to be tough on him. The last time that the Panthers played the Saints (in Carolina), Newton was held to less than 10 fantasy points. He’s going to struggle this week.
Tom Brady is the G.O.A.T. and he’s primed for a big game as he faces off against a divisional rival in a playoff race. Russell Wilson has been the best QB in fantasy this season, and he’ll be firing on all cylinders in primetime, while Jared Goff finds himself in a divisional battle of his own against a weaker Cardinals team.
My week 13 sleeper Kirk Cousins should be plenty busy against the Cowboys. Carson Wentz and Ben Roethlisberger have tougher matchups, but their play of late can be trusted here in week 13. Derek Carr, Blake Bortles and Phillip Rivers are potential Top 5 QBs this week, and Dak Prescott rounds out my top 10 based on matchup.
Beyond the top 10, DFS or streamer value can be found in Marcus Mariota and Brett Hundley, while Cam Newton, Drew Brees and Matt Stafford should be avoided this week.
Sleeper WR for Week 13: Dede Westbrook (JAX) vs. IND — Westbrook was always supposed to be a part of the plan. Now after two games of progressively more usage, he’s primed to really break out. There is no other intriguing weapon for the Jagauars, and Bortles is a pocket passer who could support a high-end WR1 if the situation was right. Got on the Dede-Train and ride him to glory.
Bust WR for Week 13: Devin Funchess (CAR) @ NO — Even though this is a divisional matchup, and Funchess has been great, the Saints are going to come to play in this game. With identical records, the game might look like one that could play out fairly even, but I don’t think so in the slightest. The Panthers got absolutely shredded by the Saints at home in week 3, and that trend should continue. Every Carolina offensive player is a downgrade in this game (Except for McCaffrey in PPR leagues).
Antonio Brown is an MVP candidate, and is a near-perpetual top WR this year.
Antonio Brown is again the #1 WR in all formats as he has a matchup against the rival Bengals, but in PPR he is downright mouthwatering. DeAndre Hopkins is matchup proof, but this matchup is great anyways so he’s my #2. Rounding out my top 3 is Brandin Cooks, who is Tom Brady’s favourite target in a plus matchup, I am worried about the amount of targets he’ll see with Chris Hogan possibly returning but you can’t afford to sit Cooks so just hope for the best.
Julio Jones and Mike Evans are coming off entirely opposite weeks… Jones had one of his greatest professional games and Evans struggled, but both will settle into the top 5. Keenan Allen joins Robby Anderson as two candidates for late-season fantasy MVP.
Adam Thielen should be great again as a target monster and yardage machine. Doug Baldwin will likely see plenty of passes and will likely be the target on scrambles from Wilson. They round out the top 10 along with Michael Thomas.
Devin Funchess is my bust for the week, he settles into the bottom of the top 20. Some readers might be shocked to see Jamison Crowder and Cooper Kupp are both in the top 20, but they are two guys who I believe didn’t fluke out in their big games this week. Marvin Jones Jr. and Golden Tate have a tough matchup in Baltimore, but Jones at least should come up pretty big.
Jarvis Landry, Dez Bryant and Larry Fitzgerald all get a slight downgrade in tough matchups. Dede Westbrook is looking prime for success against the Colts as a deep sleeper, as is Seth Roberts who will likely be featured against the Giants.
Sleeper RB for Week 13: Kenyan Drake vs. DEN — Kenyan Drake is an absolute dream for PPR owners and nobody seems to understand that. He was dropped so fast after week 11 that nobody had time to think about his potential. He is about to realize that potential. Get him in your lineup or sit in regret come Monday.
Bust RB for Week 13: Devonta Freeman vs. MIN – Freeman owners are thrilled to have him back, but he’s a recommended sit for me. Look I get it, I own him in half of my leagues, but I can smell this rotten fish from here. He’s going up against the number 1 defense in football, he’s coming off a couple weeks off and he was on the decline before his injury. Freeman is tough to sit after waiting for 2 weeks, but you gotta do it unless you’re desperate.
Le’Veon Bell will remain the #1 RB week in and week out until further notice. Alvin Kamara can make his case for overall #1 status, but in PPR and standard it’s still Bell.
Leonard Fournette should bounce back after struggling last week, and Jordan Howard will be busy in a great matchup. Todd Gurley will likely be a focus of the Cardinals defense but should still be a Top 5.
LeSean McCoy gets a good matchup, but the Bills will have to step up in order to keep the gameflow positive.. Melvin Gordon is a PPR darlin who is being showered with touches, and Samaje Perine is looking like a true stud for the Redskins. Mark Ingram will still command a lot of points as the “backup” RB, and Jamaal Williams needs to be started in PPR format this week for sure.
Kareem Hunt is a super shaky pick, but at least he has a role in the passing game. Latavius Murray and Kenyan Drake are both guys who are winning their teams’ starting job after losing the original starter, Drake is my sleeper for this week. My sleeper of the week Kenyan Drake should be a featured back this week and will likely succeed despite a bad matchup against Denver.
Christian McCaffrey and Joe Mixon are going to be seeing lots of targets in the pass game making them both great RB2s. Lamar Miller will be a RB2 by default, as he’s getting all the volume he can handle. As far as the ground and pound backs go, Marshawn Lynch gets a juicy matchup at home against the Giants, while Adrian Peterson will have to find room against the cardinals, though he is fighting through an apparent neck injury.
Devonta Freeman returns from a concussion, but can’t be recommended against the Vikings. Alex Collins will be in tough against the Lions. Rex Burkhead is emerging as a PPR gem, can he keep it going against the Bills?
I think Jay Ajayi could finally secure the starting role this week, even against the Seahawks defense, it’s a sin that he’s fighting for carries with Legarrette Blount.
There’s no controversy in naming Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce and Jimmy Graham as my top 3. They are all super talented Tight Ends in big games with decent matchups. Gronk will be a big factor in his game, Kelce will try to stay ahead of the Chiefs’ downfall, while Graham will look for a 9th TD in 8 games.
Zach Ertz is coming off his best game in 2017, so he’s someone to watch for against the Seahawks. Delanie Walker is so dependable you can’t afford to pass him up. Jared
Cook, Kyle Rudolph and Evan Engram all represent difficult players when it comes to predictions, but each one of them has Top 3 potential this week.
Look for Vernon Davis or Austin Seferian-Jenkins if you are desperate, Jason Witten if you’re in a deeper league.